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Portland Fire v Indiana Fever
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.756%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%26.71%26.68%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.573.603.8530.77%27.98%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Indiana Fever (Visitante)
Predicción 73.27%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -10.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.29%73.32%75.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.291.3281.30%77.30%77.22%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Fire (Local): 26.73%; Indiana Fever (Visitante): 73.27%. Para Portland Fire (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.74. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.91%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +2.91%E +0.756%K +1.02%G +0.030% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.41%E -6.73%K -33.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-31 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.58%E +0.415%K +0.563%G +0.009% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-01 01:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -1.10%E -0.297%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 01:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.43%E -0.667%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.97%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -2.97%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-31 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 02:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.28%E -2.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-01 02:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-31 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 22:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 01:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.77%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.11%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 20:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-31 16:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-31 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.88%E -8.03%K -42.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.02%E -3.07%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.75%E -3.65%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 13:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 02:02 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.12%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 20:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -6.95%E -5.47%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.79%E -3.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -7.68%E -6.10%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.13%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.48%E -4.25%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-08-01 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 02:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 02:05 |