L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Minnesota Lynx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-02 02:12 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 77–111 Minnesota Lynx

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 43.36%2.31cote équitable
EV -0.264%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.203%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.77%43.36%43.30%45.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.212.202.3048.31%45.33%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Lynx (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.64%1.77cote équitable
EV +0.246%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.320%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.64%56.70%58.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.671.671.7764.10%59.91%59.88%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -8.50%E -4.03%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV +0.246%E +0.139%K +0.320%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-02 02:08
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 02:01
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 01:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.15%E -1.84%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 02:09
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.72%E -2.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 02:08
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.73%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.28%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 02:08
ReBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.03%E -2.30%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.28%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 01:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.28%E -2.54%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-02 02:09
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.87%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 02:08
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.85%E -2.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 02:10
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.264%E -0.115%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 02:03
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.264%E -0.115%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 02:03
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.264%E -0.115%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 02:04
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 02:09
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:09
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:09
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:09
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:09
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.30%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-02 02:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:59
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 02:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 01:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 02:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 01:59
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.42%E -3.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 02:10
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.47%E -2.51%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.98%E -3.60%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 02:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.264%E -0.115%K -0.203%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 02:08
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 02:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 02:09
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-02 02:01
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 01:59
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.77%E -3.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-02 01:59
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.94%E -4.26%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.55%E -3.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 02:08
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 02:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.60%E -2.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.25%E -5.09%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-02 02:10
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -10.24%E -4.95%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.02%EV -11.65%E -7.47%K -20.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-02 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-02 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-06-02 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-06-02 02:10
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-06-02 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%3.1%2026-06-02 02:10
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%3.9%2026-06-02 02:10
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%4.0%2026-06-02 02:10