L’École des cotes

New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 23:02 UTC

Score final : New York Liberty 93–85 Las Vegas Aces

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Prévision 67.81%1.47cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -7.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%67.80%67.95%69.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.411.4373.53%71.25%70.92%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Vegas Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.19%3.11cote équitable
EV +0.116%
Avantage +0.037%
Kelly +0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.80%32.20%32.05%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.852.962.953.1135.09%33.80%33.90%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV +0.116%E +0.037%K +0.055%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 22:59
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.206%E -0.066%K -0.098%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 22:57
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.42%E -4.66%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.206%E -0.066%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 22:59
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.82%E -0.595%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 22:58
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.78%E -5.72%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -1.82%E -0.595%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 22:59
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 22:59
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 22:59
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 22:59
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 22:58
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 23:00
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 23:00
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 23:00
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 22:59
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.42%E -4.66%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 22:59
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.42%E -4.66%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 22:59
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -6.00%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 23:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 23:00
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 22:58
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 22:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 22:59
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.29%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 22:59
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.29%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 23:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.78%E -5.72%K -21.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.29%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 22:59
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.93%E -2.77%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 22:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-06-30 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-06-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-30 23:00
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-30 23:00
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-30 23:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-06-30 23:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-06-30 23:00