La escuela de los momios

New York Liberty v Indiana Fever

Inicio: 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 83–75 Indiana Fever

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Predicción 57.76%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.722%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.41%57.73%57.77%59.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.671.7164.10%60.48%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Predicción 42.24%2.37momio equitativo
EV +1.38%
Ventaja +0.576%
Kelly +0.988%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%42.27%42.23%44.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.252.252.4048.08%44.44%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.38%E +0.576%K +0.988%G +0.014%3.4%2026-06-06 22:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.730%E -0.310%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 22:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.81%E -1.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 21:19
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 23:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 23:49
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 23:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 22:09
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 23:29
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.86%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:39
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.86%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.26%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:40
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.11%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 23:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 23:09
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 23:49
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 23:39
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 23:30
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.95%E -2.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 23:38
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 22:19
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 22:19
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.80%E -2.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 22:19
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.22%E -2.80%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 23:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 22:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 23:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -1.24%E -0.722%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -7.91%E -3.63%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 23:48
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -2.39%E -1.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -11.29%E -5.38%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 23:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.14%EV -9.90%E -6.35%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%EV -12.14%E -5.83%K -11.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-06 22:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 23:39
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-06 23:50
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 23:50
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 23:30