A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-05-22 00:00 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 70–87 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 68.47%1.46odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -6.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.13%68.66%68.18%70.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.391.401.4275.76%71.80%71.43%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 31.53%3.17odd justa
EV +4.06%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.072%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.34%31.34%31.82%32.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.013.003.3036.36%33.27%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -6.20%E -4.53%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +4.06%E +1.23%K +1.77%G +0.072%3.3%2026-05-21 23:50
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +0.591%E +0.185%K +0.270%G +0.002%3.8%2026-05-21 23:50
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.93%E -0.621%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-21 23:49
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 22:20
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 23:50
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 22:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.89%E -5.06%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 22:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.89%E -5.06%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.89%E -5.06%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.88%E -0.934%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 22:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.19%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 22:39
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.82%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 22:39
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.83%E -3.48%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.82%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 22:39
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.82%E -1.25%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 23:50
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 23:40
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.45%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 22:40
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -6.20%E -4.53%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -4.45%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.78%E -1.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 23:49
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:10
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.83%E -3.48%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:19
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.83%E -3.48%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:40
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 23:39
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:40
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.66%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 23:40
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:39
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.46%E -2.46%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 22:40
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.15%E -2.96%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:20
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:20
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.52%E -4.00%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.98%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.78%E -1.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 23:39
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.78%E -1.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 23:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.89%E -5.06%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 23:30
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -9.62%E -7.29%K -30.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-05-21 23:50
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-21 23:50
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-21 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-21 23:50
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-21 23:20