A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Dallas Wings

Início: 2026-05-24 19:41 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 76–91 Dallas Wings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 68.07%1.47odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -6.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.82%67.95%68.10%69.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.401.401.4374.63%71.21%71.43%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 31.93%3.13odd justa
EV +0.580%
Vantagem +0.184%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.46%32.05%31.90%34.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.932.903.1538.46%34.17%34.48%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.580%E +0.184%K +0.270%G +0.002%4.2%2026-05-24 19:32
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.02%E -0.328%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-24 19:40
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.02%E -0.328%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 19:40
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.46%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.02%E -0.328%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 19:39
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.29%E -0.750%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 19:31
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.61%E -0.857%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 19:40
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.61%E -0.857%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 19:39
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 19:39
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 19:40
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.43%E -5.46%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.21%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:39
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 19:39
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.38%E -3.87%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 19:39
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.79%E -6.56%K -25.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.81%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 19:39
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.02%E -2.85%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -6.76%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.34%E -2.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 19:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 19:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 19:33
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 19:29
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.74%E -4.92%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.40%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 19:39
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.72%E -2.67%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 19:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.04%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:39
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:40
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 19:39
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:29
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.00%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 19:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.66%E -1.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.60%E -3.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 19:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.19%E -4.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:39
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -8.11%E -6.00%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -16.98%E -6.53%K -10.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-05-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-05-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-05-24 19:40
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%8.1%2026-05-24 19:40
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 67.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.10%13.3%2026-05-24 19:40