A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-06-18 02:05 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 83–99 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 19.21%5.20odd justa
EV +0.870%
Vantagem +0.166%
Kelly +0.205%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.22%19.27%19.22%21.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.874.905.2523.81%20.53%20.41%19.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 80.79%1.24odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -10.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.80%80.73%80.78%81.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.181.181.2188.50%84.76%84.75%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.870%E +0.166%K +0.205%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 02:00
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.870%E +0.166%K +0.205%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Fanatics5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 02:00
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.01%E -0.395%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 02:00
MyBookie.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.01%E -0.395%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:59
ReBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -2.01%E -0.395%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 01:59
BetUS5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -2.97%E -0.589%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 01:59
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 01:59
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 02:00
BetAnything5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 02:00
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 02:00
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 01:59
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.90%E -6.93%K -56.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 01:59
Pinnacle4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV -4.89%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Fliff4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -4.89%E -0.989%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 02:00
SportsBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.86%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.86%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.29%E -5.42%K -39.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 01:59
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -5.86%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.29%E -5.42%K -39.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 01:59
GTbets4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -6.82%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:00
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 01:59
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 01:59
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.78%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 01:59
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.74%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.25%E -1.86%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 01:59
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.06%E -2.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 02:00
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:00
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.86%E -3.25%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:00
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.62%E -2.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.67%E -3.96%K -25.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 01:59
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.54%E -3.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.48%E -4.68%K -32.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 02:00
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.30%E -4.60%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -8.71%E -7.71%K -67.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-18 02:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.95%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.05%0.3%2026-06-18 02:00
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-06-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%1.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-06-18 02:00
ProphetX4.45I 22.47%NM 21.93%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.07%2.5%2026-06-18 02:00