A Escola das Odds

Las Vegas Aces v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-06-09 02:10 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 101–91 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Previsão 89.02%1.12odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -32.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
87.62%88.95%88.98%89.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.061.071.071.0994.34%93.63%93.46%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 10.98%9.11odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +0.454%
Kelly +0.508%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.04%11.05%11.02%12.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.508.728.689.5013.33%11.47%11.53%10.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%3.1%2026-06-09 01:48
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.0%2026-06-08 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.32%E +0.454%K +0.508%G +0.022%4.9%2026-06-09 01:59
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.18%E -0.131%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 19:20
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.18%E -0.131%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 00:29
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.18%E -0.131%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-08 15:49
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.18%E -0.131%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 01:59
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.18%E -0.131%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 01:59
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.02%EV -2.97%E -2.72%K -32.99%G +0.000%8.84I 11.31%NM 10.98%EV -2.93%E -0.332%K -0.374%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-09 01:49
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -2.97%E -2.72%K -32.99%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV -3.37%E -0.383%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-09 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.92%E -0.448%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 00:29
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.92%E -0.448%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 00:29
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -5.57%E -0.647%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 01:49
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.23%E -0.729%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -6.23%E -0.729%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:39
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 01:39
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 01:39
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:39
NordicBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 18:59
Betsson1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.67%E -0.784%K -0.889%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-08 18:59
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -8.86%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 01:59
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:38
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 01:39
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 01:50
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 01:59
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 01:59
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 19:49
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 19:49
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.16%E -1.52%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 19:49
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-08 15:58
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.65%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-09 01:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-09 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-09 01:59
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-09 01:50
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-06-08 20:49
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 88.77%8.77I 11.40%NM 11.23%1.5%2026-06-09 01:59
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.9%2026-06-09 01:39