La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Las Vegas Aces v Minnesota Lynx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 58.92%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.01%58.82%60.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.621.621.6766.23%61.82%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)
Predicción 41.08%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.184%
Ventaja -0.076%
Kelly -0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.55%40.99%41.18%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.322.332.4346.30%43.17%42.92%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.60%E -0.957%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.78%E -1.68%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.95%E -2.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.93%E -2.59%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.06%E -1.30%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.29%E -1.84%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.184%E -0.076%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 23:56 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.24%E -0.940%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.52%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.90%E -4.37%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.49%E -4.77%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.49%E -4.77%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.86%EV -11.03%E -7.30%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -11.27%E -5.22%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-06-14 00:00 |