La escuela de los momios

Las Vegas Aces v Dallas Wings

Inicio: 2026-06-26 02:10 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 99–84 Dallas Wings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Predicción 68.16%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -4.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%68.11%68.21%69.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.401.411.4474.07%71.38%70.92%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Predicción 31.84%3.14momio equitativo
EV +0.287%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.46%31.89%31.79%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.953.1536.36%33.78%33.90%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.287%E +0.091%K +0.133%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 01:49
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.287%E +0.091%K +0.133%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 02:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.30%E -0.421%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 01:38
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.30%E -0.421%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 01:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.30%E -0.421%K -0.621%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.26%E -0.736%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 02:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.26%E -0.736%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.90%E -0.950%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 02:00
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.90%E -0.950%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 00:30
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.25%E -3.78%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.53%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:29
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 00:30
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 00:30
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 00:19
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 00:59
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 02:00
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.49%E -1.50%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 02:00
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 23:30
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 00:20
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 01:59
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 01:59
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 02:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 01:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.08%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 01:00
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.40%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 01:50
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -7.04%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 01:40
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -5.25%E -3.78%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -7.04%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 01:40
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 02:00
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.89%E -2.76%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 02:00
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.67%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 01:39
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.67%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 01:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.31%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 01:40
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 01:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 01:29
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 01:29
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -10.86%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 02:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.85%E -1.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 03:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.57%E -3.27%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.53%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 01:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82%0.6%2026-06-26 02:00
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-26 02:00
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-06-26 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-26 02:00
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-06-26 02:00
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-06-25 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-26 02:00