Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-08-06 23:06 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 84–86 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 50.45%1.98odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.836%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.52%50.55%50.46%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.19%53.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 49.55%2.02odd justa
EV -0.397%
Vantagem -0.197%
Kelly -0.393%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.45%49.54%51.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.922.0155.56%52.13%52.08%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 50.45%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 49.55%. Para Las Vegas Aces (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.01, com valor esperado de -0.397%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.836%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 23:03
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.836%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-06 23:04
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.63%E -0.836%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.13%E -1.10%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.84%E -3.64%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.14%E -1.64%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.84%E -3.64%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 14:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 23:02
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 22:55
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.65%E -1.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 23:00
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.36%E -2.26%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 22:45
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.66%E -2.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.86%E -2.53%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.16%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.36%E -2.26%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.16%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.16%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:05
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 23:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.17%E -3.32%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.37%E -1.73%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -6.67%E -3.61%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -0.397%E -0.197%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.67%E -3.61%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.88%E -0.951%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:54
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.67%E -3.61%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.85%E -3.08%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.67%E -3.61%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.85%E -3.08%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.61%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.33%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -7.18%E -3.90%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.892%E -0.446%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.88%E -0.951%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:00
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.88%E -0.951%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.33%E -4.50%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-06 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -8.69%E -4.80%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 23:05
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.892%E -0.446%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-06 23:00
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-08-06 23:05
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-06 23:05
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-08-06 23:05
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%2.8%2026-08-06 23:05