La escuela de los momios

Golden State Valkyries v Washington Mystics

Inicio: 2026-07-21 02:05 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 82–90 Washington Mystics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 75.71%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -5.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.68%75.89%75.63%78.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.261.3083.33%79.26%79.37%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Predicción 24.29%4.12momio equitativo
EV +9.31%
Ventaja +2.07%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.248%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%24.11%24.37%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.863.904.5028.57%25.90%25.64%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.31%E +2.07%K +2.66%G +0.248%5.6%2026-07-21 01:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.31%E +2.07%K +2.66%G +0.248%5.6%2026-07-21 02:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.406%E -0.099%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 21:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -1.14%E -0.279%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 01:55
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:35
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 23:35
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:55
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 15:50
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.84%E -0.709%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:25
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 01:30
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:10
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 01:59
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.12%E -4.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 02:00
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.12%E -4.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:10
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.12%E -4.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -4.05%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:10
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 14:00
Neds1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 02:00
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 01:50
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 22:40
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.51%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 20:29
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.51%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-20 20:29
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 20:30
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.61%E -3.66%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 16:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 23:09
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 01:50
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 01:28
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.64%E -6.26%K -34.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 22:40
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:44
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.34%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-21 01:45
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 01:45
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.09%E -2.42%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 01:45
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -1.58%E -1.21%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:46
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.12%E -4.94%K -25.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 02:00
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 02:00
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 02:00
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -6.88%E -5.59%K -29.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-07-21 01:55
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-20 16:55
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-07-21 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-21 02:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-21 02:00
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-21 02:00
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%2.6%2026-07-21 02:00