A Escola das Odds

Golden State Valkyries v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-06-28 23:03 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 76–67 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Previsão 52.43%1.91odd justa
EV +0.132%
Vantagem +0.069%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.31%52.38%53.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.811.801.9158.48%55.20%55.56%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 47.57%2.10odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.37%47.69%47.62%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0752.36%49.96%50.00%48.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.132%E +0.069%K +0.145%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 23:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.132%E +0.069%K +0.145%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 22:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.916%E -0.485%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -6.75%E -3.45%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 22:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.01%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-28 22:58
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.01%E -1.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 22:57
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.33%E -2.68%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 22:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.33%E -2.68%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 22:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 22:59
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.06%E -2.22%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 22:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.33%E -2.68%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 22:59
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 22:45
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.90%E -1.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 23:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.11%E -2.82%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.75%E -3.45%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 23:00
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.47%E -1.21%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 22:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 23:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 22:59
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 22:49
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 22:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 22:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 22:58
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 22:59
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 22:59
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.52%E -0.734%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.52%E -0.734%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 23:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 22:59
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 22:59
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.95%E -1.44%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 23:00
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.90%E -1.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 22:59
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.90%E -1.93%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 22:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 22:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -10.35%E -6.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -8.18%E -4.24%K -8.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-28 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-28 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-28 23:00
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-06-28 23:00
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-28 23:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-28 23:00
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-28 23:00
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-28 23:00