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Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 68.27%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.692%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.20%68.33%68.11%69.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.62%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dallas Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 31.73%3.15momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +0.958%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%31.67%31.89%33.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.982.953.2535.71%33.54%33.90%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 68.27%; Dallas Wings (Visitante): 31.73%. Para Dallas Wings (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.15. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.11%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +3.11%E +0.958%K +1.38%G +0.043% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 01:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +3.11%E +0.958%K +1.38%G +0.043% | 2.2% | 2026-08-18 01:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.33%E -0.427%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.33%E -0.427%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.65%E -0.531%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.65%E -0.531%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 02:02 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.47%E -4.72%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.65%E -0.531%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.65%E -0.531%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -2.28%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 02:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.23%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.55%E -1.17%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 02:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.87%E -1.28%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 02:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 01:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 01:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 01:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.82%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.45%E -1.83%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-18 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.83%E -5.80%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.41%E -2.17%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.73%E -2.65%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.04%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 01:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.05%E -2.15%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 01:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 23:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 01:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.10%E -3.67%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.99%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.63%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.15%E -5.26%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.63%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.42%E -3.16%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.58%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -1.00%E -0.692%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -9.90%E -3.48%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 01:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.51%E -6.35%K -25.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.16%E -3.99%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-18 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-18 02:05 |