La escuela de los momios

Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings

Inicio: 2026-06-18 02:02 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 91–80 Dallas Wings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%57.86%57.93%59.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.641.641.7064.94%60.83%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Predicción 42.11%2.37momio equitativo
EV +0.229%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.35%42.14%42.07%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.262.282.3847.17%44.19%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.80%E -4.22%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +0.229%E +0.096%K +0.166%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.59%E -0.937%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-18 01:59
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 01:59
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 02:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 02:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 01:59
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 01:59
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 02:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 01:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 01:59
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.64%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:59
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 01:59
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 02:00
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.17%E -1.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-18 02:00
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 02:00
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 02:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 01:59
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 01:59
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 01:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.25%E -2.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 02:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 01:59
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.92%EV -10.85%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -10.72%E -5.06%K -9.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-18 02:00
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-18 02:00
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-06-18 02:00