Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream

2026-11-01 00:00 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 50.51%1.98momio equitativo
EV -1.000%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%50.43%50.52%51.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.881.901.9658.48%53.06%52.63%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Predicción 49.49%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.91%49.57%49.48%51.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.901.9556.82%52.63%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 50.51%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 49.49%. Para Golden State Valkyries (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.98. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.96, con un valor esperado de -1.000%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -1.000%E -0.510%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-29 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.02%E -1.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 20:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.48%E -2.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-29 22:10
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 19:03
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 19:11
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 21:20
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 21:27
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.53%E -1.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.92%E -6.07%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-29 18:55
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 18:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 18:55
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 21:14
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.54%E -2.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.48%E -2.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.42%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.99%E -2.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-29 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.04%E -2.68%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.48%E -2.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-29 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-29 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-29 19:55
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 00:05
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.49%E -1.79%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 01:15
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.97%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.45%E -3.99%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 22:50
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 20:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 20:05
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.56%E -3.54%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.98%E -2.59%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 20:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.57%E -4.13%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.47%E -2.87%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 00:05
picklebet_au🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.07%E -4.43%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-29 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.08%E -5.05%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-29 20:03
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.08%E -5.05%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.96%E -3.70%K -7.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-29 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.72%EV -9.59%E -5.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.28%EV -12.40%E -7.01%K -16.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -13.63%E -7.97%K -19.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.28%EV -12.90%E -7.33%K -16.97%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-29 20:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-10-30 01:50
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-10-30 01:15
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-10-30 01:50
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%4.2%2026-10-30 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-10-30 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-10-30 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-10-30 01:35