La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 45.66%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.919%
Ventaja +0.416%
Kelly +0.760%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%45.61%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.71%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atlanta Dream (Visitante)
Predicción 54.34%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.39%54.26%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.741.751.8060.61%57.34%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV +0.919%E +0.416%K +0.760%G +0.007% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -7.63%E -4.49%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.463%E +0.210%K +0.385%G +0.002% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.09%E -4.14%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.463%E +0.210%K +0.385%G +0.002% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.09%E -4.14%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.463%E +0.210%K +0.385%G +0.002% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.35%E -6.27%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 23:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV +0.006%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -6.54%E -3.80%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 00:40 |
| GTbets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 20:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 01:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 01:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.46%E -3.14%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.09%E -4.14%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.63%E -4.49%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 21:48 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.26%E -5.55%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-24 14:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.47%E -2.64%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 01:39 |
| ReBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.28%E -1.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.28%E -1.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 18:40 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.28%E -1.84%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.83%E -2.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.37%E -2.48%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-24 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.35%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.91%E -2.81%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 00:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.00%E -3.47%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.26%E -5.55%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-25 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 01:10 |
| Novig | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 1.1% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 3.2% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 02:00 |