Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream

2026-10-27 00:10 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 51.48%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.35%51.72%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.681.841.851.9259.52%54.29%54.05%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Predicción 48.52%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.65%48.28%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.942.0055.56%51.54%51.55%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 51.48%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 48.52%. Para Golden State Valkyries (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.92, con un valor esperado de -1.16%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.16%E -0.602%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.874%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.67%E -0.874%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 19:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 19:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.15%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.11%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.70%E -1.43%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 19:45
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 20:45
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:40
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:44
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.73%E -1.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:45
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.24%E -2.28%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.24%E -2.28%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.87%E -3.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 22:05
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.76%E -2.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.45%E -1.73%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.76%E -2.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.76%E -2.57%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.36%E -3.30%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.27%E -2.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.27%E -2.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.27%E -2.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.93%E -1.99%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.27%E -2.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.42%E -2.24%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 00:11
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.27%E -2.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.90%E -2.50%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 00:11
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.79%E -3.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.79%E -3.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 23:34
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.79%E -3.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 20:48
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.79%E -3.16%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 20:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.30%E -3.46%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.90%E -2.50%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.46%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:34
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.46%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:35
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.30%E -3.46%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 00:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.96%E -1.48%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.39%E -2.76%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 23:34
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 19:40
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.33%E -4.07%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.24%E -5.54%K -12.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 00:05
picklebet_au🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -8.36%E -4.70%K -10.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -6.84%E -3.56%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 23:34
betano_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.88%E -5.02%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.88%E -5.02%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -7.33%E -3.84%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 23:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -10.42%E -5.99%K -14.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -11.70%E -6.43%K -14.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -13.51%E -8.04%K -19.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -12.67%E -7.04%K -15.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-24 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-24 23:20
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-25 01:45
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%4.1%2026-10-25 01:45
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-10-25 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-10-25 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-10-25 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-10-25 01:30