A Escola das Odds

Dallas Wings v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-05-15 00:03 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 86–90 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Previsão 59.80%1.67odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.802%
Kelly -2.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%59.86%59.78%61.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.581.571.6568.97%63.31%63.69%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 40.20%2.49odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.620%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.75%40.14%40.22%41.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.402.4544.44%41.95%41.67%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.32%E -0.802%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 00:00
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -1.92%E -1.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -5.94%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-15 00:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 23:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 00:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 23:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 00:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.12%E -1.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 00:00
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 23:58
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 23:57
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 23:59
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 00:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.72%E -2.31%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 00:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.31%E -2.70%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 23:58
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.31%E -2.70%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:00
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.31%E -2.70%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -5.14%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 00:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 00:00
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.51%E -3.49%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.94%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 00:00
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.33%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.33%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 23:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.33%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 23:59
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 00:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 00:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.11%E -3.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 23:58
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 00:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.32%E -0.956%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.30%E -4.71%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.52%E -0.620%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.90%E -5.13%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 23:59
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.90%E -5.13%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 23:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.33%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 00:00
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.50%E -5.56%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 00:00
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -13.28%E -9.16%K -29.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -8.35%E -3.66%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-15 00:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-05-15 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-05-15 00:00
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-15 00:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-15 00:00
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 52.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 47.77%37.7%2026-05-15 00:00