L’École des cotes

Chicago Sky v Los Angeles Sparks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 23:35 UTC

Score final : Chicago Sky 96–82 Los Angeles Sparks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prévision 55.61%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.30%55.72%55.50%57.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.52%58.48%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Sparks (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.39%2.25cote équitable
EV -0.127%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.60%44.28%44.50%45.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.152.152.2549.50%46.51%46.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 23:18
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 23:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:29
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 23:07
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:34
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 22:34
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:34
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:35
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 23:29
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 23:04
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 23:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:34
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 22:34
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:39
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.01%E -2.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 23:14
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 23:29
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 22:34
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 22:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 23:14
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 22:39
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -10.34%E -5.12%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 23:24
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:38
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.02%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.23%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 23:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.127%E -0.057%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 23:04
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -1.90%E -0.861%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 23:14
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:29
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 22:34
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 22:39
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -9.45%E -4.63%K -9.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 22:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-17 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-17 23:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-17 23:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-17 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-17 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-17 23:24
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-07-17 23:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%2.8%2026-07-17 23:29