A Escola das Odds

Chicago Sky v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-06-28 20:10 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 99–107 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Previsão 28.06%3.56odd justa
EV +1.03%
Vantagem +0.285%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.23%28.02%28.12%29.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.13%28.99%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 71.94%1.39odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -8.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%71.98%71.88%73.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.311.311.3579.37%76.11%76.34%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.03%E +0.285%K +0.395%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.92%E -6.19%K -28.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 19:59
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 18:28
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.376%E -0.106%K -0.148%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV -0.657%E -0.186%K -0.259%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:59
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 18:30
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 17:49
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 17:28
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:39
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:39
Bally Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:39
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.78%E -0.508%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:39
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 15:39
GTbets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:20
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:20
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 18:19
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 19:39
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 19:39
ReBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:39
MyBookie.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.76%E -4.40%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:49
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.60%E -2.69%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 20:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.60%E -2.69%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:48
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:29
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 15:19
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 18:19
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 17:50
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 17:49
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 17:49
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:59
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.89%E -2.14%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.89%E -2.14%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 15:19
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.60%E -2.69%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 20:00
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 19:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 19:59
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.82%K -15.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 17:49
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -9.36%E -7.43%K -36.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 19:39
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 19:59
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-28 17:50
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.48%E -4.99%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-28 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-06-28 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-28 20:00
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-28 20:00
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-06-28 20:00
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-06-28 20:00
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-06-28 19:30
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%2.1%2026-06-28 20:00