Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-07-31 23:35 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 98–89 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 82.69%1.21odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -19.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.13%82.68%82.83%84.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.151.151.1790.91%86.94%86.96%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 17.31%5.78odd justa
EV +3.86%
Vantagem +0.644%
Kelly +0.773%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.85%17.32%17.17%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.475.506.0020.41%18.28%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Dream (Local): 82.69%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 17.31%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.78. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.86%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%4.4%2026-07-31 22:58
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.86%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%5.2%2026-07-31 23:14
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.86%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%5.2%2026-07-31 23:25
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.402%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 23:18
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.402%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 23:18
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.402%E +0.069%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 16:24
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -1.33%E -0.233%K -0.283%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 21:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -2.89%E -0.515%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -2.89%E -0.515%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 21:35
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:34
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 23:30
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.93%E -0.707%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 21:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:44
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:45
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:00
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 17:04
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 21:49
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -8.25%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.81%EV -9.04%E -8.22%K -90.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -8.25%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:29
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:24
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:24
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 23:24
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 22:38
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.18%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-31 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-07-31 23:30
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.59%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.41%0.5%2026-07-31 23:29
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-31 23:30
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-07-31 23:30
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-07-31 23:25