Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries

2026-10-24 17:10 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Predicción 63.09%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.48%63.09%63.03%64.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.411.501.501.5570.92%66.61%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Predicción 36.91%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.336%
Ventaja -0.124%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.58%36.91%36.97%38.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.562.602.7044.44%39.01%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Dream (Local): 63.09%; Golden State Valkyries (Visitante): 36.91%. Para Golden State Valkyries (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.336%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:30
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.21%E -1.43%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 02:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.85%E -1.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 03:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.18%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-22 02:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.18%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-22 02:25
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.92%E -1.11%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-22 02:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 07:25
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.77%E -1.85%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 02:31
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 02:29
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 03:34
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.74%E -3.14%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.18%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 04:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.74%E -3.14%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.77%E -1.85%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 07:30
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.336%E -0.124%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 04:30
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 03:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 02:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 03:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 03:25
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 03:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 07:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 05:45
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 07:25
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -6.98%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 03:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 02:40
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 05:44
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -1.07%E -0.401%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 03:30
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 03:40
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 03:40
picklebet_au🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:25
Bet Victor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:24
betano_uk🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.26%E -4.94%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -12.15%E -5.10%K -8.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -11.05%E -7.83%K -26.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -10.30%E -4.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-22 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.48%EV -11.05%E -7.83%K -26.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.52%EV -16.95%E -7.53%K -13.56%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-22 07:26
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-22 05:50
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-10-22 06:10
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%3.8%2026-10-22 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-10-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-10-22 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%5.7%2026-10-22 08:05