La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Dream v Dallas Wings

Inicio: 2026-05-22 23:30 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 86–69 Dallas Wings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Predicción 65.64%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.29%65.52%65.73%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5073.53%68.99%68.97%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Predicción 34.36%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.365%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.192%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%34.48%34.27%36.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.802.9040.00%36.24%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.54%E -1.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-22 23:20
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.54%E -1.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.24%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 23:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.54%E -1.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 23:19
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.85%E -1.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -8.27%E -3.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.85%E -1.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.95%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.77%E -0.979%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:49
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.77%E -0.979%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:39
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.49%E -1.61%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 22:40
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.89%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 23:19
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.67%E -4.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 23:20
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.67%E -4.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 23:19
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.365%E -0.126%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 23:19
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.74%E -0.608%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 23:09
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:39
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:20
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 23:19
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 21:29
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.17%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:19
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.82%E -3.32%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.11%E -5.64%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 23:09
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.08%E -0.731%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 18:49
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:20
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:19
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:07
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 23:09
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 23:09
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -6.13%E -4.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 22:06
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.13%E -4.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -5.17%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 23:20
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.79%E -4.78%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.80%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 21:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.10%E -5.79%K -20.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 17:40
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -10.73%E -7.89%K -29.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -10.67%E -4.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-22 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-22 22:40
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-05-22 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-05-22 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-05-22 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-05-22 22:49
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-05-22 23:10
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.6%2026-05-22 23:20