La escuela de los momios

Wisconsin Badgers v High Point Panthers

Inicio: 2026-03-19 17:55 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wisconsin Badgers (Local)

Predicción 80.85%1.24momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -14.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.95%80.88%80.91%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.171.181.2088.50%85.23%84.75%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

High Point Panthers (Visitante)

Predicción 19.15%5.22momio equitativo
EV +9.15%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.178%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.67%19.12%19.09%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.894.805.7022.22%20.45%20.83%17.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -7.83%E -6.87%K -55.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +9.15%E +1.61%K +1.95%G +0.178%5.3%2026-03-19 17:49
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -8.64%E -7.64%K -66.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV +3.41%E +0.631%K +0.774%G +0.026%7.0%2026-03-19 17:49
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +0.534%E +0.102%K +0.126%G +0.001%3.8%2026-03-19 17:49
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -8.64%E -7.64%K -66.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +0.534%E +0.102%K +0.126%G +0.001%7.5%2026-03-19 17:49
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.41%EV -3.79%E -3.18%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.59%EV -0.232%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.38%E -0.268%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:49
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.38%E -0.268%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:49
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.79%E -3.18%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:49
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:45
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:48
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:49
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:49
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:49
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.25%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:49
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.79%E -3.18%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -5.21%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:50
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.66%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.34%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:50
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.17%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.17%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 17:49
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.17%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:50
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:50
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:50
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:49
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.60%E -3.90%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:49
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:50
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:49
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.21%E -5.36%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.00%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:49
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.21%E -5.36%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.00%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:49
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.79%E -3.18%K -19.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:50
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.02%E -6.11%K -46.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:49
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.83%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.98%E -2.48%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.83%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:49
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.40%E -4.62%K -31.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.83%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 85.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 15.00%-2.0%2026-03-19 17:49
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 82.10%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.90%0.7%2026-03-19 17:49
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-19 17:49
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 82.14%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.86%1.4%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-19 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-03-19 17:50
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%2.3%2026-03-19 17:50
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 81.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.06%2.6%2026-03-19 17:50