La escuela de los momios

Weber State Wildcats v Montana Grizzlies

Inicio: 2026-02-22 02:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Weber State Wildcats (Local)

Predicción 55.23%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%55.19%55.27%56.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.11%57.80%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Montana Grizzlies (Visitante)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.684%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%44.81%44.73%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.23%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 23:00
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.30%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 15:30
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 15:35
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 08:50
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 02:23
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:04
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 21:04
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.09%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:40
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:50
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 17:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.684%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 02:20
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:35
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 01:59
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 21:00
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.88%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 23:05
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.11%E -3.59%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 02:15
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 17:35
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-02-22 02:20
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-02-22 02:24
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-02-22 00:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-21 16:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-02-22 02:25