La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.70%E -7.53%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +2.05%E +0.746%K +1.17%G +0.024% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 07:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -2.03%E -0.769%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.40%E -0.913%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.40%E -0.913%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.40%E -0.913%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.81%E -6.08%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 16:14 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.26%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.89%E -1.21%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.74%E -2.26%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.89%E -1.21%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.11%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 16:40 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.66%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.44%E -6.55%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.44%E -6.55%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -7.60%E -3.05%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| BetOpenly | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Novig | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.50% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.50% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |