L’École des cotes

Virginia Cavaliers v Miami Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 60.54%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.809%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.44%60.55%60.45%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.36%63.29%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.46%2.53cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -0.900%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.45%39.55%42.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.402.5045.45%41.98%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -1.32%E -0.809%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -13.19%E -5.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-13 21:30
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:29
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:30
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:30
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:35
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:30
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:30
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 21:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 21:30
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 21:30
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.14%E -1.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.06%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 21:30
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.75%E -0.701%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-13 22:54
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.93%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 21:24
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.11%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 21:28
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 21:25
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -11.61%E -5.18%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:35
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:55
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.35%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:53
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.35%E -0.540%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 21:29
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 22:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.32%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 21:35
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:24
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:25
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.45%E -3.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:30
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.45%E -3.64%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:35
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.56%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.35%E -0.540%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:55
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.16%E -3.98%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 22:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.16%E -3.98%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 21:55
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.16%E -3.98%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.66%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 21:55
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:34
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 22:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 21:29
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.24%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 21:30
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:45
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-13 22:20
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-13 22:25
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-03-13 22:54
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-03-13 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-03-13 22:35
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%4.5%2026-03-13 22:49