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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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UT-Arlington Mavericks v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

开赛时间： 2026-11-15 00:17 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UT-Arlington Mavericks (主队)

预测 64.00%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -5.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
62.50%63.98%64.29%64.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.471.461.5269.93%67.88%68.49%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (客队)

预测 36.00%2.78公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.05%36.02%35.71%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.622.652.7040.00%38.16%37.74%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：UT-Arlington Mavericks (主队)：64.00%；UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (客队)：36.00%。 对于“UT-Arlington Mavericks (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.52，期望值为-2.71%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -2.71%E -1.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -5.69%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 17:35
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.71%E -1.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:15
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.36%E -2.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.36%E -2.22%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.00%E -2.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-15 00:15
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.00%E -2.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-15 00:02
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.00%E -2.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-15 00:02
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 13:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.00%E -2.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-15 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.64%E -3.11%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-14 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.28%E -3.56%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-14 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.56%E -4.49%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.56%E -4.49%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:50
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.56%E -4.49%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.20%E -4.96%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 23:45
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.84%E -5.44%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.48%E -5.93%K -19.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-15 00:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-11-15 00:15
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-11-15 00:15
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-11-15 00:15
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%4.4%2026-11-15 00:15

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