La escuela de los momios

USC Trojans v Oregon Ducks

Inicio: 2026-02-21 21:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

USC Trojans (Local)

Predicción 67.65%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%67.76%67.71%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.401.411.4576.34%71.40%70.92%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oregon Ducks (Visitante)

Predicción 32.35%3.09momio equitativo
EV +8.38%
Ventaja +2.50%
Kelly +3.57%
Crecimiento +0.299%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%32.24%32.29%34.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.903.3537.04%34.06%34.48%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +8.38%E +2.50%K +3.57%G +0.299%4.5%2026-02-21 21:10
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -11.38%E -8.69%K -36.71%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV +5.79%E +1.77%K +2.55%G +0.148%6.9%2026-02-21 21:10
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV +1.91%E +0.606%K +0.888%G +0.017%3.7%2026-02-21 20:59
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.91%E +0.606%K +0.888%G +0.017%4.2%2026-02-21 21:10
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.291%E +0.094%K +0.138%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:10
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.33%E -0.435%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 21:10
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.62%E -3.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.97%E -0.651%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:02
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.62%E -3.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.97%E -0.651%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:03
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.94%E -0.981%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 21:00
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:59
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:58
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.56%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:59
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 21:09
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 21:09
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:59
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:59
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.94%E -2.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 20:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.59%E -1.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:59
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.26%E -2.28%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:10
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.62%E -3.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.62%E -3.27%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -9.41%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 21:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.03%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 20:59
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.91%E -1.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.44%-0.1%2026-02-21 20:59
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-21 21:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-02-21 21:10
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%3.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%3.6%2026-02-21 21:07