默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UIC Flames v UNC Greensboro Spartans

开赛时间： 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

94%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UIC Flames (主队)

预测 94.09%1.06公平赔率

EV -1.21%

优势 -1.15%

Kelly -24.13%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.05

博彩公司预测分布

90.50%93.80%93.95%94.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.011.021.021.0599.01%97.83%98.04%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

UNC Greensboro Spartans (客队)

预测 5.91%16.92公平赔率

EV +12.31%

优势 +0.648%

Kelly +0.684%

增长率 +0.084%

假设最高赔率为 19.00

博彩公司预测分布

5.09%6.20%6.05%9.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

10.0014.2215.0019.0010.00%7.03%6.67%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：UIC Flames (主队)：94.09%；UNC Greensboro Spartans (客队)：5.91%。对于“UNC Greensboro Spartans (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为16.92。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为19.00，对应+12.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.31%E +0.648%K +0.684%G +0.084%	3.3%	2026-11-09 14:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.31%E +0.648%K +0.684%G +0.084%	3.3%	2026-11-09 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +6.40%E +0.355%K +0.376%G +0.024%	3.6%	2026-11-09 03:05
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.484%E +0.028%K +0.030%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-09 02:05
DraftKings🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.09%E -3.00%K -102.94%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV -5.43%E -0.339%K -0.362%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-09 13:45
GTbets🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.97%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.90I 6.29%NM 6.03%EV -6.02%E -0.378%K -0.404%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-09 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -8.38%E -0.541%K -0.578%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -8.38%E -0.541%K -0.578%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 15:40
1xBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 22:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 21:55
Everygame🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-09 13:02
888sport🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.34%E -0.756%K -0.810%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -15.77%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 03:30
Bovada🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -15.77%E -1.11%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 09:39
Bet Right🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -17.25%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 03:30
picklebet_au🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.03%E -3.95%K -201.45%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -17.25%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 23:05
SportsBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -23.16%E -1.78%K -1.93%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 21:55
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -2.15%E -2.06%K -53.68%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -26.11%E -2.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:55
TAB🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.09%E -3.00%K -102.94%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -29.07%E -2.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.09%E -3.00%K -102.94%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -34.98%E -3.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-09 00:15
Coral🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.09%E -3.00%K -102.94%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -34.98%E -3.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-09 00:15
Betsson🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.98%E -3.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-09 14:35
NordicBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.97%E -4.92%K -496.99%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.98%E -3.18%K -3.50%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-09 14:40
Neds🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -1.21%E -1.15%K -24.13%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -40.89%E -4.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -1.21%E -1.15%K -24.13%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -40.89%E -4.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-09 21:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 98.03%	50.66I 1.97%NM 1.97%	0.0%	2026-11-09 22:15
Novig◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%	0.2%	2026-11-09 23:55
ProphetX◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 95.17%	20.50I 4.88%NM 4.83%	1.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%	1.2%	2026-11-09 03:00
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%	2.2%	2026-11-09 23:00

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