La escuela de los momios

UC Irvine Anteaters v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Inicio: 2026-03-01 03:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Predicción 62.18%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.24%62.28%62.08%64.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.531.5768.97%65.63%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visitante)

Predicción 37.82%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.166%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%37.72%37.92%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.522.532.6442.19%39.73%39.53%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 20:49
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:10
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:09
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:09
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 03:05
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 02:25
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.24%E -2.75%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 21:34
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.24%E -2.75%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 22:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.24%E -2.75%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 20:58
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.68%E -0.646%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.44%E -0.944%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:49
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 02:55
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:24
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:55
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:55
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 02:55
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 03:25
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 22:14
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.48%E -3.61%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:55
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 02:55
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.166%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 03:10
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 03:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 03:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 02:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.97%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 00:39
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 00:39
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.38%E -4.38%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -10.38%E -4.38%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.35%E -4.93%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 20:49
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -8.59%E -5.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 20:30
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.83%E -6.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -0.922%E -0.352%K -0.569%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 22:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-03-01 02:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-01 03:15
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-03-01 02:44
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-01 02:50
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-01 02:30