L’École des cotes

Troy Trojans v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prévision 84.85%1.18cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -23.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.70%84.75%84.92%86.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.01%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.15%6.60cote équitable
EV +6.05%
Avantage +0.865%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.69%15.25%15.08%17.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.146.007.0018.52%16.29%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.05%E +0.865%K +1.01%G +0.061%4.4%2026-02-24 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.27%E +0.336%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.9%2026-02-24 16:39
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.144%E +0.022%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:00
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.144%E +0.022%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:00
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:50
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 14:20
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 14:00
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 13:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.97%E -4.44%K -41.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 15:50
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.67%E -6.06%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.52%E -0.234%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:14
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.04%E -0.475%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.04%E -0.475%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.04%E -0.475%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:55
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.04%E -0.475%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.04%E -0.475%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:54
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.62%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.38%EV -5.01%E -0.799%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-24 23:35
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 22:15
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.12%E -3.65%K -31.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:34
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.12%E -3.65%K -31.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 14:29
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.67%E -6.06%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 14:20
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.67%E -6.06%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.67%E -6.06%K -66.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.10%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 23:54
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.28%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.72%EV -9.85%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 23:54
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -5.82%E -5.24%K -52.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -13.64%E -2.39%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 17:10
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -15.16%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 14:19
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -15.16%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -15.16%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 14:19
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.27%E -2.87%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.67%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.12%E -3.65%K -31.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.67%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 14:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.12%E -3.65%K -31.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.19%E -3.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.08%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.92%-0.1%2026-02-24 23:55
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-02-24 23:45
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-02-24 23:55
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 85.78%6.94I 14.41%NM 14.22%1.4%2026-02-24 23:14
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-02-24 23:54