默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Towson Tigers v LIU Sharks

开赛时间： 2026-11-10 00:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

76%

24%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Towson Tigers (主队)

预测 75.71%1.32公平赔率

EV -2.33%

优势 -1.81%

Kelly -8.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.29

博彩公司预测分布

74.40%75.98%75.62%79.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.201.251.261.2983.33%79.70%79.37%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

LIU Sharks (客队)

预测 24.29%4.12公平赔率

EV +11.73%

优势 +2.55%

Kelly +3.26%

增长率 +0.382%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布

20.69%24.02%24.38%25.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.653.843.754.6027.40%26.03%26.67%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Towson Tigers (主队)：75.71%；LIU Sharks (客队)：24.29%。对于“LIU Sharks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.12。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+11.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -9.15%E -7.62%K -45.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +11.73%E +2.55%K +3.26%G +0.382%	5.1%	2026-11-09 23:54
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.12%E -4.93%K -25.50%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.44%E +1.03%K +1.35%G +0.060%	3.9%	2026-11-09 23:55
GTbets🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.413%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:49
Caesars🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.413%E -0.101%K -0.133%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.84%E -0.711%K -0.947%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 22:50
888sport🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.70%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.84%E -0.711%K -0.947%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-09 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.70%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.84%E -0.711%K -0.947%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-09 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.70%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.84%E -0.711%K -0.947%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-09 22:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.62%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.94I 25.38%NM 24.38%EV -4.30%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:40
BetMGM🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:49
picklebet_au🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
Bovada🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.27%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 22:48
FanDuel🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.09%E -2.41%K -11.04%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -6.49%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 22:10
TAB🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.70%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 22:45
Fanatics🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.33%E -1.81%K -8.05%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
BetRivers🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:49
betPARX🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:49
Unibet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.85%E -3.03%K -14.25%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-09 23:30
Neds🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-09 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-09 23:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
TABtouch🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
1xBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -9.64%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-09 22:20
Everygame🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.71%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 22:49
SportsBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-09 22:15
Coral🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.70%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-09 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.63%E -6.26%K -34.70%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.13%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-09 22:15
Betsson🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-09 22:45
NordicBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.36%E -4.29%K -21.45%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-09 22:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%	4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%	0.9%	2026-11-09 23:30
Novig◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%	4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%	1.0%	2026-11-09 23:15
ProphetX◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%	4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%	1.0%	2026-11-09 22:30
Polymarket◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%	4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%	2.1%	2026-11-09 22:50

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