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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Texas Longhorns v Baylor Bears

2026-11-15 20:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Texas Longhorns (主队)

预测 66.64%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -7.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.48%66.78%66.67%68.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.411.401.4572.99%71.17%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baylor Bears (客队)

预测 33.36%3.00公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.533%
Kelly -0.807%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.87%33.22%33.33%34.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.852.852.9537.04%35.03%35.09%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Texas Longhorns (主队)：66.64%；Baylor Bears (客队)：33.36%。 对于“Baylor Bears (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.00。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-1.57%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.38%E -2.33%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-14 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 20:30
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-14 22:29
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-15 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-14 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.91%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-14 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.71%E -3.29%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 20:10
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.04%E -4.29%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 20:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 22:29
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.71%E -4.79%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 20:59
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.04%E -5.83%K -21.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -1.57%E -0.533%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-15 00:25
picklebet_au🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.71%E -6.36%K -23.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 22:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-11-14 22:35
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%1.6%2026-11-15 00:40
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-11-15 00:50
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-11-15 00:35
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%3.1%2026-11-15 00:20

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