La escuela de los momios

Texas A&M Aggies v Texas Longhorns

Inicio: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Texas A&M Aggies (Local)

Predicción 55.54%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.12%55.54%55.51%56.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7860.61%58.59%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Longhorns (Visitante)

Predicción 44.46%2.25momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.08%44.46%44.49%45.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2248.78%46.80%46.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.14%E -0.641%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 19:44
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.70%E -0.958%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:41
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 19:39
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:54
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 19:20
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.19%E -2.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:25
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:24
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.92%E -2.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.19%E -0.993%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:00
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.19%E -0.993%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:14
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 20:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 19:04
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:59
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 20:14
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 20:59
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.08%E -3.39%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:04
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.69%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.30%E -0.584%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.69%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.69%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 19:04
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.69%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.69%E -3.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.19%E -2.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:29
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.34%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:09
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 20:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-02-28 19:04
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-02-28 20:54
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-02-28 20:19
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-02-28 20:49
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%3.3%2026-02-28 20:59