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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash v Wagner Seahawks

开赛时间： 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (主队)

预测 47.26%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
46.38%47.26%47.24%48.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.002.002.0552.36%49.97%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wagner Seahawks (客队)

预测 52.74%1.90公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -2.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.70%52.74%52.76%53.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.56%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (主队)：47.26%；Wagner Seahawks (客队)：52.74%。 对于“Wagner Seahawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.90。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.85，期望值为-2.43%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.59%E -1.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:50
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:30
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:12
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:49
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.07%E -2.82%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:49
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.59%E -3.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.43%E -1.31%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:25
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.01%E -2.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.65%E -3.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.73%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.73%E -5.10%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 15:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-02-21 18:05
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-02-21 18:45
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig◎2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-02-21 18:50