La escuela de los momios

St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Davidson Wildcats

Inicio: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Local)

Predicción 64.88%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -5.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.89%65.01%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5071.43%68.06%67.80%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Davidson Wildcats (Visitante)

Predicción 35.12%2.85momio equitativo
EV +0.101%
Ventaja +0.035%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%35.11%34.99%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.622.8540.00%37.42%38.17%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +0.101%E +0.035%K +0.055%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:20
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -0.601%E -0.213%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 16:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -0.953%E -0.338%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 16:44
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.66%E -0.591%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 16:54
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.66%E -0.591%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:50
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.66%E -0.591%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:48
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:44
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:34
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:49
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 16:49
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 16:49
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:50
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 16:44
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.76%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 16:19
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -3.76%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 16:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.46%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 16:25
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.92%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:25
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -7.27%E -2.76%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:44
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 16:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:20
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:20
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:20
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:19
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:19
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 16:49
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -3.33%E -2.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -10.44%E -4.09%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 16:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 66.29%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.71%-0.1%2026-03-07 16:49
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-07 16:25
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%0.9%2026-03-07 16:35
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-03-07 16:54