默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Jackson St Tigers

2026-11-12 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

79%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (主队)

预测 78.74%1.27公平赔率

EV -3.94%

优势 -3.23%

Kelly -17.89%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布

76.72%78.70%78.67%79.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.39%83.33%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jackson St Tigers (客队)

预测 21.26%4.70公平赔率

EV +0.977%

优势 +0.206%

Kelly +0.260%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布

20.03%21.30%21.33%23.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.024.394.404.7524.88%22.78%22.73%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Southern Miss Golden Eagles (主队)：78.74%；Jackson St Tigers (客队)：21.26%。对于“Jackson St Tigers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.70。有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.75，由此产生+0.977%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.977%E +0.206%K +0.260%G +0.003%	4.4%	2026-11-11 06:05
Bovada🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.30%E -5.29%K -33.14%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.977%E +0.206%K +0.260%G +0.003%	5.1%	2026-11-11 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.21%E -0.481%K -0.614%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-11 03:40
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.21%E -0.481%K -0.614%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-11 03:45
DraftKings🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.94%E -3.23%K -17.89%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-11 03:35
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.72%E -3.90%K -22.49%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-11 03:40
888sport🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.87%E -6.73%K -46.31%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-11 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.87%E -6.73%K -46.31%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-11 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.87%E -6.73%K -46.31%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.34%E -0.964%K -1.24%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-11 03:35
Fanatics🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.94%E -3.23%K -17.89%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-11 03:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-11 06:00
Virgin Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-11 06:00
BetRivers🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-11 06:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-11 06:00
betPARX🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-11 06:00
ReBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.72%E -3.90%K -22.49%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.59%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-11 04:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.94%E -3.23%K -17.89%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-11 03:40
Neds🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.94%E -3.23%K -17.89%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-11 03:40
Fliff🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.65%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-11 07:50
picklebet_au🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.72%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-11 03:35
Coral🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.36%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.72%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-11 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.08%E -6.00%K -39.36%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.72%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-11 03:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.51%E -4.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.84%E -3.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-11 03:35
1xBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.72%EV -3.94%E -3.23%K -17.89%G +0.000%	4.02I 24.88%NM 23.28%EV -14.54%E -3.62%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-11 06:04

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%	2.0%	2026-11-11 03:45
Polymarket◎	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%	3.0%	2026-11-11 06:30
Novig◎	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%	5.0%	2026-11-11 07:40
ProphetX◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%	5.4%	2026-11-11 07:25

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