La escuela de los momios

Seton Hall Pirates v Creighton Bluejays

Inicio: 2026-03-12 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seton Hall Pirates (Local)

Predicción 58.56%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.33%58.61%58.67%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.621.611.6764.10%61.91%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Creighton Bluejays (Visitante)

Predicción 41.44%2.41momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%41.39%41.33%42.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.3646.51%43.52%43.48%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 16:40
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 18:24
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 18:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 16:40
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -5.11%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 18:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 18:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:45
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.54%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 16:40
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.54%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 17:45
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.21%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:40
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 16:45
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:05
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 18:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.16%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 16:45
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.21%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -8.01%E -3.61%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 16:44
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.91%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.91%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:45
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -7.18%E -3.21%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 18:25
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.84%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 16:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 16:40
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:40
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.05%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.45%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.45%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-03-12 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-03-12 18:25
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-12 16:40
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-03-12 18:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-12 18:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-03-12 18:25