默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Redhawks v Idaho State Bengals

2026-11-15 03:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

91%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Redhawks (主队)

预测 90.78%1.10公平赔率

EV -3.77%

优势 -3.56%

Kelly -62.91%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.06

博彩公司预测分布

86.50%90.66%90.74%91.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.42%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Idaho State Bengals (客队)

预测 9.22%10.84公平赔率

EV +1.43%

优势 +0.130%

Kelly +0.143%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 11.00

博彩公司预测分布

8.71%9.34%9.26%13.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

6.609.6610.0011.0015.15%10.35%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Seattle Redhawks (主队)：90.78%；Idaho State Bengals (客队)：9.22%。对于“Idaho State Bengals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.84。有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为11.00，由此产生+1.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.77%E -3.56%K -62.91%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +1.43%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002%	3.4%	2026-11-13 23:50
FanDuel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +1.43%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002%	4.3%	2026-11-14 00:35
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.18%E -0.303%K -0.334%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-14 00:19
GTbets🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.75%EV -3.77%E -3.56%K -62.91%G +0.000%	10.40I 9.62%NM 9.25%EV -4.10%E -0.394%K -0.436%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-14 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -5.48%E -0.535%K -0.593%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-14 00:19
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.77%E -3.56%K -62.91%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-14 00:19
Bet Right🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 00:20
888sport🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 00:20
Coral🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.79%E -0.779%K -0.865%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 00:19
SportsBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.40%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-13 22:45
Neds🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.77%E -3.56%K -62.91%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.77%E -3.56%K -62.91%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 00:19
Paddy Power🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-13 22:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 01:19
1xBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.68%E -4.46%K -93.64%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 01:00
Casumo🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.59%E -5.38%K -139.75%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -17.01%E -1.89%K -2.13%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-14 01:19
picklebet_au🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 86.50%EV -6.50%E -6.31%K -216.59%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 13.50%EV -39.14%E -5.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-14 01:00

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%	3.2%	2026-11-13 22:50
Novig◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%	5.2%	2026-11-14 01:00
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.90%	8.33I 12.00%NM 11.10%	8.2%	2026-11-14 01:30

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