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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saint Joseph's Hawks v Longwood Lancers

2026-11-05 00:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saint Joseph's Hawks (主队)

预测 78.08%1.28公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -13.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.24

博彩公司预测分布
76.34%78.19%78.21%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.221.2485.47%82.56%81.97%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

Longwood Lancers (客队)

预测 21.92%4.56公平赔率
EV +0.810%
优势 +0.176%
Kelly +0.225%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.63%21.81%21.79%23.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.254.304.6025.64%23.52%23.26%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Saint Joseph's Hawks (主队)：78.08%；Longwood Lancers (客队)：21.92%。 对于“Longwood Lancers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.56。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.60，由此产生+0.810%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.810%E +0.176%K +0.225%G +0.002%4.4%2026-11-04 00:10
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.64%E -7.39%K -50.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.38%E -0.307%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.64%E -7.39%K -50.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.38%E -0.307%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.64%E -7.39%K -50.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -1.38%E -0.307%K -0.395%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.57%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.67%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-04 01:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.11%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-04 01:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-03 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-04 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.86%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-04 00:00
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.86%E -6.66%K -43.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -6.86%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-04 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.96%E -1.89%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-04 00:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.34%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.17%E -2.56%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.34%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.34%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.53%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 00:00
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.53%E -3.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 00:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-11-04 00:35
Novig◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%3.8%2026-11-04 00:35
Polymarket◎1.22I 81.97%NM 77.37%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%5.9%2026-11-04 01:45