La escuela de los momios

Portland Pilots v San Diego Toreros

Inicio: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Pilots (Local)

Predicción 58.49%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.11%58.49%58.45%60.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.611.6964.52%61.83%62.11%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Toreros (Visitante)

Predicción 41.51%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.458%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.64%41.51%41.55%42.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.312.302.4246.51%43.36%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV +0.458%E +0.189%K +0.322%G +0.001%3.4%2026-02-28 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.372%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 20:34
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.372%E -0.155%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.20%E -0.505%K -0.871%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:29
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.62%E -0.683%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 20:45
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:49
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -2.03%E -0.861%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 20:34
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 20:35
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.28%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:29
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 20:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -4.11%E -1.78%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:54
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:54
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:54
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.15%E -0.683%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:54
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:54
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:49
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 20:49
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.59%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 20:49
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.74%E -1.04%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 20:49
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.67%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 20:54
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-28 20:54
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-02-28 20:54
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-02-28 20:54