La escuela de los momios

Pennsylvania Quakers v Dartmouth Big Green

Inicio: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pennsylvania Quakers (Local)

Predicción 69.92%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%69.84%70.02%72.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4076.92%72.97%72.99%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dartmouth Big Green (Visitante)

Predicción 30.08%3.32momio equitativo
EV +4.37%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%30.16%29.98%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.4735.71%32.22%32.26%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -9.10%E -7.00%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV +4.37%E +1.26%K +1.77%G +0.077%5.7%2026-02-27 22:24
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.61%E -4.15%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.742%E -0.225%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 23:54
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.34%E -0.410%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 22:49
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.40%E -6.41%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -1.94%E -0.597%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 23:54
Betway1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.81%E -2.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.25%E -0.691%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-27 21:19
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.25%E -0.691%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 21:29
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.25%E -0.691%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 23:14
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.15%E -0.978%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.15%E -0.978%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 23:19
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.15%E -0.978%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 23:19
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.15%E -0.978%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 21:19
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 23:54
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 23:54
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:54
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.25%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 21:14
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 23:52
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.21%E -3.07%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 23:54
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 23:54
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 21:19
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 21:19
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.00%E -5.27%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 21:19
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.30%E -4.71%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -7.96%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 21:14
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 21:15
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 21:14
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.26%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 21:14
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 21:14
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 21:15
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.51%E -2.54%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 21:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 21:14
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 22:48
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 23:39
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.27%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.11%E -1.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -11.27%E -3.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 21:14
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.78%E -5.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.91%E -3.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -15.78%E -5.64%K -8.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.41I 70.92%NM 71.05%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.95%-0.2%2026-02-27 23:39
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-27 23:29
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-27 23:54
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.5%2026-02-27 23:54
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-02-27 23:54