La escuela de los momios

Oregon St Beavers v San Diego Toreros

Inicio: 2026-02-26 03:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oregon St Beavers (Local)

Predicción 69.36%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -7.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.31%69.54%69.51%71.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.64%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Toreros (Visitante)

Predicción 30.64%3.26momio equitativo
EV +4.17%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.072%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.08%30.46%30.49%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.103.4035.71%31.73%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +4.17%E +1.23%K +1.74%G +0.072%4.6%2026-02-26 00:29
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:30
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:30
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:30
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:29
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +2.64%E +0.787%K +1.12%G +0.030%5.0%2026-02-26 00:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%EV -9.83%E -7.56%K -32.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV +2.02%E +0.608%K +0.869%G +0.018%7.0%2026-02-26 00:30
Betway1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.59%E -2.58%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -0.427%E -0.131%K -0.190%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-25 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.427%E -0.131%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:30
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.75%E -5.83%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.427%E -0.131%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:30
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -7.05%E -5.26%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -1.04%E -0.322%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:44
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -1.65%E -0.515%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.97%E -3.63%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.96%E -0.612%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:03
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.49%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:39
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:40
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.28%E -3.10%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 23:43
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:30
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:15
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:04
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.02%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 02:14
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.94%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 23:40
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.94%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 23:40
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.05%E -5.26%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 00:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 00:30
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:30
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 00:30
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:29
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.36%E -4.71%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.09%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.89%E -2.07%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.62%E -3.26%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:30
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -4.97%E -3.63%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -10.54%E -3.61%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 00:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.21%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.67%E -4.17%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.21%E -5.08%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92%-0.2%2026-02-26 00:45
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-02-26 02:50
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-02-26 02:50
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-02-26 02:50
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%3.2%2026-02-26 02:44