La escuela de los momios

Oregon Ducks v Maryland Terrapins

Inicio: 2026-03-10 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oregon Ducks (Local)

Predicción 61.37%1.63momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.43%61.24%61.32%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.541.541.5966.67%64.77%64.94%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maryland Terrapins (Visitante)

Predicción 38.63%2.59momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.582%
Kelly -0.958%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%38.76%38.68%40.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.502.5543.48%40.56%40.00%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -2.43%E -1.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.74%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:55
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.43%E -1.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 21:00
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 20:59
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.26%E -0.893%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 21:00
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.26%E -0.893%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-10 21:00
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 21:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 20:54
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 20:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 20:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.65%E -2.33%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.14%E -4.85%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 21:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 18:45
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 20:53
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 15:05
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 20:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 19:00
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.27%E -2.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.35%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:00
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.83%E -3.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.88%E -3.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 20:55
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.80%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:55
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.50%E -3.57%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.19%E -1.69%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:59
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.49%E -0.582%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 20:05
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.89%E -2.86%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:50
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.21%E -3.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.11%E -3.99%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.14%E -4.85%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 20:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.72%E -4.42%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:55
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.72%E -4.42%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.28%E -3.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.34%E -4.86%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 20:05
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.34%E -4.86%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:25
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.34%E -4.86%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.42%E -1.37%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 20:05
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.34%E -4.86%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.74%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:45
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.95%E -5.30%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.14%E -4.85%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-10 21:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.71%2.55I 39.22%NM 39.29%-0.2%2026-03-10 21:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-10 20:35
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-03-10 21:00
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%1.9%2026-03-10 21:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-10 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-10 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-03-10 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-03-10 21:00