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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Ohio State Buckeyes v Marshall Thundering Herd

开赛时间： 2026-11-09 23:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ohio State Buckeyes (主队)

预测 95.48%1.05公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -130.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.02

博彩公司预测分布
92.31%95.18%95.41%97.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.35%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

Marshall Thundering Herd (客队)

预测 4.52%22.14公平赔率
EV +85.21%
优势 +2.08%
Kelly +2.13%
增长率 +1.82%

假设最高赔率为 41.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.38%4.82%4.59%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.0022.0321.0041.008.33%4.54%4.76%2.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ohio State Buckeyes (主队)：95.48%；Marshall Thundering Herd (客队)：4.52%。 对于“Marshall Thundering Herd (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为22.14。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为41.00，对应+85.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +85.21%E +2.08%K +2.13%G +1.82%2.4%2026-11-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +62.62%E +1.74%K +1.79%G +1.12%1.8%2026-11-09 15:19
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +40.03%E +1.29%K +1.33%G +0.534%2.2%2026-11-09 13:41
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +31.00%E +1.07%K +1.11%G +0.343%2.5%2026-11-09 09:39
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +17.45%E +0.671%K +0.698%G +0.122%2.9%2026-11-09 21:15
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +17.45%E +0.671%K +0.698%G +0.122%3.8%2026-11-09 15:18
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +17.45%E +0.671%K +0.698%G +0.122%3.8%2026-11-09 15:20
GTbets🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +17.45%E +0.671%K +0.698%G +0.122%3.8%2026-11-09 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.61%E -2.56%K -130.38%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 21:10
William Hill🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-09 15:25
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -5.14%E -0.245%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV -14.76%E -0.782%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.92%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%18.87I 5.30%NM 5.08%EV -14.76%E -0.782%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 21:15
picklebet_au🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -23.21%E -1.37%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 22:14
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -23.21%E -1.37%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 22:15
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -27.72%E -1.73%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 21:30
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -32.24%E -2.15%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.56%E -3.53%K -356.24%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -41.28%E -3.18%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 22:13
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -45.79%E -3.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 22:15
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.52%E -4.52%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -45.79%E -3.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 22:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.61%41.67I 2.40%NM 2.39%0.4%2026-11-09 22:45
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.42%38.46I 2.60%NM 2.58%0.6%2026-11-09 22:55
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-11-09 07:00
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.81%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.19%1.3%2026-11-09 22:55

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