L’École des cotes

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Duke Blue Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 00:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prévision 8.31%12.04cote équitable
EV +16.31%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.205%

avec la cote maximale 14.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.91%8.38%8.37%10.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.7811.0014.0011.11%9.28%9.09%7.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Duke Blue Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 91.69%1.09cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -3.55%
Kelly -74.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.55%91.62%91.63%93.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0599.01%96.15%96.15%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +16.31%E +1.16%K +1.25%G +0.205%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.64%E -4.46%K -116.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-24 23:59
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +8.00%E +0.615%K +0.667%G +0.053%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 00:01
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.00%E +0.615%K +0.667%G +0.053%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:05
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +8.00%E +0.615%K +0.667%G +0.053%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Bovada12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +3.85%E +0.308%K +0.335%G +0.013%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 00:03
DraftKings12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -0.307%E -0.026%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 00:04
Caesars11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:03
BetUS11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:59
BetMGM11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.64%E -4.46%K -116.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:05
Neds11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Marathon Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -4.46%E -0.388%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.39%E -7.32%K -739.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 00:00
LowVig.ag11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -5.21%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 00:02
BetOnline.ag11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -5.21%E -0.456%K -0.500%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 00:03
888sport11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.54%E -0.581%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.64%E -4.46%K -116.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 23:59
Mr Green (SE)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.54%E -0.581%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.64%E -4.46%K -116.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 23:59
888sport (SE)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -6.54%E -0.581%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.64%E -4.46%K -116.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 23:59
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.61%E -0.783%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:58
1xBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.61%E -0.783%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 23:59
Coral11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.61%E -0.783%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -8.61%E -0.783%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:05
Betway11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.61%E -0.783%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.47%E -6.35%K -323.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:04
Fliff10.60I 9.43%NM 8.86%EV -11.94%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.14%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 00:00
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -16.92%E -1.69%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:05
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.92%E -1.69%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:59
SportsBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.92%E -1.69%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 00:05
Betsson10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -16.92%E -1.69%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:59
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:05
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:05
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:05
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:05
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:04
BoyleSports9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -21.08%E -2.22%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.56%E -5.40%K -185.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 00:01
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.23%E -2.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -25.23%E -2.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.72%E -3.55%K -74.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly18.75I 5.33%NM 5.35%1.06I 94.34%NM 94.65%-0.3%2026-02-24 23:59
ProphetX15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%0.8%2026-02-25 00:04
Polymarket17.24I 5.80%NM 5.74%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.26%1.0%2026-02-25 00:05
Kalshi16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%1.2%2026-02-25 00:04
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 50.25%1.01I 99.01%NM 49.75%99.0%2026-02-25 00:05