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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Murray St Racers v Northwestern St Demons

开赛时间： 2026-11-08 01:03 UTC

最终结果： Murray St Racers 93–71 Northwestern St Demons

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Murray St Racers (主队)

预测 95.79%1.04公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -3.22%
Kelly -324.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.01

博彩公司预测分布
92.86%95.52%95.79%97.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.52%100.00%99.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

Northwestern St Demons (客队)

预测 4.21%23.77公平赔率
EV +93.55%
优势 +2.03%
Kelly +2.08%
增长率 +1.94%

假设最高赔率为 46.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.15%4.48%4.21%7.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0021.4721.0046.007.69%4.66%4.76%2.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Murray St Racers (主队)：95.79%；Northwestern St Demons (客队)：4.21%。 对于“Northwestern St Demons (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为23.77。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为46.00，对应+93.55%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.85%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%EV +93.55%E +2.03%K +2.08%G +1.94%1.2%2026-11-07 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +43.06%E +1.27%K +1.30%G +0.562%2.9%2026-11-07 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +30.44%E +0.982%K +1.01%G +0.309%3.2%2026-11-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +9.40%E +0.361%K +0.376%G +0.035%2.9%2026-11-08 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +9.40%E +0.361%K +0.376%G +0.035%2.9%2026-11-08 00:40
GTbets🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.96%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.04%EV +0.982%E +0.041%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-07 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -3.23%E -0.140%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-07 18:45
William Hill🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 01:00
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:40
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:45
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -11.64%E -0.554%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-07 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -15.85%E -0.792%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -28.47%E -1.67%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 14:14
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -28.47%E -1.67%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-07 14:15
picklebet_au🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -28.47%E -1.67%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.31%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.69%EV -29.52%E -1.76%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-07 04:35
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -32.68%E -2.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 04:35
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.25%E -3.22%K -324.97%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -36.89%E -2.46%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-07 09:09
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -43.20%E -3.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-07 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.10%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV -43.20%E -3.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-08 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.21%E -4.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -45.30%E -3.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 14:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.02I 98.04%NM 98.08%52.00I 1.92%NM 1.92%-0.0%2026-11-07 23:05
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-11-07 22:40
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-11-07 18:15
Polymarket◎1.02I 98.04%NM 96.65%29.41I 3.40%NM 3.35%1.4%2026-11-08 01:00
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.21%25.64I 3.90%NM 3.79%2.9%2026-11-08 01:00

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