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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Morehead St Eagles v IUPUI Jaguars

2026-11-15 00:30 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Morehead St Eagles (主队)

预测 44.42%2.25公平赔率
EV -4.51%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -3.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.16%44.53%44.30%45.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.102.102.1549.02%47.65%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

IUPUI Jaguars (客队)

预测 55.58%1.80公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -4.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
54.67%55.47%55.70%55.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.691.701.7460.98%59.07%58.82%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Morehead St Eagles (主队)：44.42%；IUPUI Jaguars (客队)：55.58%。 对于“IUPUI Jaguars (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.80。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.74，期望值为-3.28%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.28%E -1.89%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-14 00:53
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-14 01:10
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 00:39
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-14 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.95%E -2.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-14 01:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-14 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-14 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.62%E -3.94%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-14 01:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-13 22:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 01:10
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.17%E -3.43%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.06%E -3.59%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 01:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 01:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.51%E -3.24%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-14 01:10
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.17%E -4.30%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-14 01:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.29%E -5.02%K -12.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 00:55
picklebet_au🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.39%E -4.60%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.84%E -5.39%K -13.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 01:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-11-13 22:30
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-11-14 01:30
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 45.08%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%10.4%2026-11-14 01:30
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 66.88%46.6%2026-11-13 23:50